PolicyBlog has moved!

Thank you for visiting, PolicyBlog has a new address.

Our new location is http://www.commonwealthfoundation.org/policyblog

Please adjust your bookmarks. Archived posts will remain here for now.


Monday, January 14, 2008

Fluid races could make Pa.'s late primary important

Peter Jackson commentary on the potential "influence" of the PA primary in April. While there has been a push to move the primary up in the calendar so that Pennsylvania will have more "influence" in the nomination, it is quite possible (given that no candidate - especially on the GOP side - is likely to wrap up the nomination early) that Pennsylvania could be the deciding factor.

I am of that mind as well - though we'll see how things play out - and think that moving up the primary to weigh in earlier would be like the Supreme Court hearing cases before the lower courts to "have more influence".

I would add that while Jackson notes that there is "not much activity on the ground" here in PA, we are three months away; but there is also not much activity going on in any of the 22 states voting on Feb 5 - all the candidates are currently campaign in Michigan, South Carolina, or Florida (but only in one of the three). Wyoming already had their caucus - and no one campaigned there - and Nevada is also upcoming, with little campaign activity. I imagine that on Feb. 5, only California will get serious attention (NY being conceded to Clinton and Giuliani). In other words, if we want attention from candidates, having a primary by itself a full month after the previous primary might be the best option.

No comments: